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The Stay-Put Economy
Why US housing sales can slump while prices hold firm, and where the economic value moves when households stay put.
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Our market letters, filed by the date they were sent. Start with the latest issue or browse the archive by year and topic.
115 published issues
Latest weekly newsletter
Why US housing sales can slump while prices hold firm, and where the economic value moves when households stay put.
Agentic commerce could change who controls discovery, payment and customer trust. The investment question is who owns the permission to act.
A rate increase is neither an automatic equity warning nor proof of strength. Earnings, inflation and productivity determine which story investors are living through.
Why the Reserve Bank of Australia faced a difficult rate decision, and what the subsequent move tells us about currency, banks and households.
Central-bank demand supports gold’s longer story, but currency, real yields and investor flows can still unsettle a rally.
ETF growth makes access easier, but the wrapper says little about concentration, liquidity or the price paid for a strategy.
Consumer experiences, quality compounders and acquisition candidates offer different sources of return. The hard part is knowing what each depends on.
A busy IPO calendar is a sign of market access. It says much less about whether the next newly listed share is worth its price.
Launches and satellites create the infrastructure; recurring customers and durable margins determine the investment outcome.
Semiconductor supply chains, governance and currency risk make emerging-market investing a collection of distinct decisions.
Fares, seat capacity and fuel costs can shift airline margins quickly. Passenger growth alone misses the operating leverage.
A large private valuation does not arrive in public indices all at once. Float, lockups and index rules govern the transition.
Data centres make AI a power, cooling and construction story as well as a software story.
Hardware builds the capacity; software and internet businesses must show that AI changes what customers pay for.
Trading is only one revenue stream. Subscriptions, cash, lending and global reach are changing the economics of brokerage businesses.
A short issue on the durability of AI profits and the conditions under which US debt becomes a market problem.
For the last two years, the AI narrative has largely revolved around semiconductors. NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NVDA) became the face of the AI infrastructure boom. Hyperscalers poured hundreds of…
Imagine an industry that barely exists today, but in 10 years could be worth more than Saudi Arabia's entire economy. That's robotaxis.
Energy markets are again becoming a serious macro signal for investors. The concern is not only whether oil prices rise for a few weeks, but whether higher energy costs start moving through…
The Iran conflict is accelerating a shift that was already under way, moving the world toward a more divided global order. The idea of a single, stable geopolitical framework is gradually…
Global markets are entering a phase where macro volatility is no longer episodic, it is structural. Rising geopolitical tensions, energy disruptions, and supply chain reconfiguration are…
When geopolitical tensions escalate in the Middle East, the immediate focus of global markets is almost always on crude oil. This is logical, given the strategic importance of the Strait of…
Yesterday, markets were hoping for clarity. Instead, they got uncertainty and that has changed everything.
Geopolitical conflicts often begin as headline risk. Markets react, volatility jumps, oil spikes, and then investors try to decide whether the move is temporary noise or the start of something…
The dominant narrative around artificial intelligence (AI) has been straightforward and alarming: Machines are coming for human jobs. From automated customer service to AI-generated code, the…
Geopolitical conflicts rarely stay confined to the battlefield. The ongoing war involving Iran is already sending ripples through energy markets, inflation expectations, central bank policy…
For more than a decade, equity markets have been dominated by growth stocks, particularly technology and platform businesses driven by digital transformation. The rise of artificial…
When the U.S. Supreme Court struck down President Trump’s broad IEEPA-based tariffs, the first reaction was simple. It looked like a win for markets. A weaker tariff regime should mean less…
Two powerful forces are reshaping the U.S. economy in 2026.
If you have ever wondered why a single press conference in Washington can move home-loan rates, stock prices, and even global borrowing costs — this is one of those moments.
Software investing going into 2026 is no longer about chasing the loudest growth story. It is about identifying durable value creators that can survive tighter budgets, longer deal scrutiny…
Copper has quietly become one of the most important strategic commodities of this decade. It sits at the center of electrification, renewable energy, electric vehicles, AI-driven data centers…
The cleanest biotech opportunities are the ones with a date on the truth. Five companies whose 2026 milestones could force the market to update its view, and the framework for reading them.
Analysts’ view for 2026 is basically this: The S&P 500 can go up around 12% this year, mainly because company profits (earnings) are expected to grow around 12% too.
As mentioned in our last edition, analysts expect another strong year for U.S. equities in 2026, projecting the S&P 500 (SPX) to deliver a 12% total return to reach about 7,600 (Goldman Sachs)…
Over the last few years, markets have absorbed inflation shocks, aggressive rate hikes, geopolitical stress, trade tensions, and the explosive rise of AI; yet the S&P 500 has remained…
The past year was anything but ordinary. Trade wars returned, artificial intelligence surged at unprecedented scale, governments ran ever-larger deficits, and faith in institutions was…
As we move toward 2026, investors are trying to make sense of one of the most important forces shaping financial markets: The future of U.S. monetary policy.
The United States is confronting a strategic challenge that has gone largely unnoticed: Its shipbuilding capacity has collapsed to near zero . While the U.S. once maintained vast shipyards…
As the year progresses, investors find themselves juggling conflicting signals: softening U.S. data, renewed strength in global manufacturing, high expectations embedded in AI-related…
The latest earnings season has triggered another major upgrade in expectations for AI capital expenditure. After multiple quarters of upward revisions, the AI hyperscalers — Amazon (AMZN)…
Global electricity markets are entering a profound and long-lasting expansion phase. But unlike previous cycles driven by heavy manufacturing or industrialization, today’s surge is being…
China is quietly engineering one of the biggest infrastructure expansions in its history: A nationwide push to build the digital backbone for artificial intelligence.
Earnings have been coming in fast and heavy past few weeks from the biggest names in U.S. autos and industrial tech: Tesla (TSLA), General Motors (GM), Ford (F), Visteon (VC), Gentex (GNTX)…
The term “rare earth elements” (REEs) refers to a group of 17 metallic elements that are central to modern technologies. These include the 15 lanthanides (elements with atomic numbers 57…
Equity markets continue to defy gravity. Global indices hover near record highs, AI investment keeps accelerating, and the biggest U.S. technology companies together now represent nearly a…
For more than a decade, international equities have played second fiddle to the United States, home to the Magnificent 7 and the most powerful technology ecosystem in history. The dominance of…
When the White House declared broad import duties on April 2, now infamous as “Liberation Day” , markets reacted as if a new trade war had begun. Analysts warned of runaway inflation…
The U.S. Federal Reserve has stepped back into the spotlight, this time with a quarter-point interest rate cut , the first such move in nine months. But unlike previous cycles where cuts were…
Europe is standing at the edge of one of its most important economic transitions in decades. After 15 years of falling electricity demand, the continent is entering a new phase. According to…
Every few months, headlines flare up about America’s “unsustainable” debt. Numbers get thrown around in the trillions, politicians argue, and investors wonder what it all means for markets…
For years, investors have overlooked Europe. Money has flowed into the United States and into Asia, while European stocks were seen as “slow growth” or “old economy.”
The semiconductor sector has been the backbone of the AI trade since late 2022. The explosion of generative AI and large language models (LLMs) created insatiable demand for GPUs, AI…
Money has always evolved alongside technology. From the first coins to paper notes, from credit cards to mobile wallets, each leap reflected society’s pursuit of faster, safer, and more…
Equity market in the United States has defied seasonal expectations this August, riding a wave of optimism that’s more reminiscent of a holiday rally than a typical late-summer lull.
If you have ever scanned the morning headlines and then flinched at your portfolio, you’re far from alone. Market drama sparked by U.S.-Israel strikes on Iran, or tariff shocks in April, might…
The U.S. energy system is undergoing a strategic realignment. Policy changes, surging power demand from artificial intelligence, and maturing shale production are collectively reshaping the…
Despite rising political tensions, unpredictable trade policies, and a divided economic outlook, U.S. markets continue to prove their strength. Resilience is not just a theme, it is showing up…
We have passed the midpoint of 2025 — and it feels like we have lived through a decade’s worth of change in just six months. From geopolitical tremors to tariff wars, central bank pauses to…
The global eCommerce industry has matured meaningfully over the past five years. Gone are the pandemic-era days of double-digit annual growth, but this isn’t the end of the story. In fact, as…
Europe’s energy markets are undergoing a quiet revolution. After decades of modest growth, electricity demand across the continent is accelerating — and not by a little.
What was once a small, niche pharmaceutical segment is now rapidly evolving into one of the biggest and most consequential markets in modern healthcare.
India is standing at the cusp of a dramatic energy transformation — and the global energy community is paying close attention. In a country where rising household incomes, rapid…
If you had to bet on a single factor that could add an extra percentage point to India’s economic growth over the next decade, what would it be? Infrastructure? Artificial intelligence?…
If you’ve been following the headlines out of Europe lately, you might have noticed a recurring theme: Defence budgets are soaring.
It sounds like science fiction, but it’s quickly becoming our reality — humanoid robots are no longer confined to Hollywood scripts or CES stage demos. From factory floors to autonomous…
If you’ve followed the headlines about demographic trends, you’ve likely heard terms like “population time bomb” or “demographic crisis” thrown around to describe our ageing global population…
The United States is facing a major shift in trade policy this year, with its effective tariff rate expected to rise by about 13 percentage points —reaching levels unseen since the 1930s.
The global financial markets have had a dramatic and unpredictable start to 2025. What began as a promising year for U.S. markets and technology stocks has quickly turned into a complex and…
Global markets have endured a challenging period over the last year, shaken by trade disputes, policy uncertainty, and concerns about economic slowdown. From sharp equity sell-offs to rising…
As we head deeper into Q2 of 2025, the financial markets remain perched on an uncomfortably narrow ledge — neither in the clear nor completely tumbling into crisis. The relief from the April 9…
Market declines can be unsettling , but they’re also a normal part of the investing journey. In this edition, we explore six essential principles to help you stay calm, focused, and prepared…
After a rollercoaster week of market volatility triggered by tariff shocks , we’re witnessing some much-needed relief. Markets have bounced back sharply following a pause in proposed tariff…
The creator economy is at a turning point. Growth is accelerating, but so are the challenges. Beneath the surface of this booming industry, uncertainty is rising.
Since the beginning of President Trump’s second term, investors find themselves navigating a whirlwind of policy changes, economic shifts, and political maneuvers.
Immigration has long been a critical driver of the U.S. economy, providing labor, innovation, and demographic growth. Over the past three years, immigration numbers have surged, fueling…
Fixed-income investors are facing a dramatically different landscape. The days of central banks dominating market moves are giving way to an era of fiscal dominance, where government policies…
If 2024 taught investors one thing, it’s that broad market exposure alone isn’t enough. The year was defined by one of the highest levels of return dispersion in the S&P 500, proving that…
As the Q4 earnings season nears completion, with 77% of the S&P 500 companies having reported their results, investors and analysts alike are piecing together a clearer picture of corporate…
Over the past decade, China has firmly established itself as a technological powerhouse, investing heavily in artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning. With rapid advancements in AI…
A potential breakthrough in the Russia-Ukraine war could be on the horizon, with Bloomberg reporting that President Trump may introduce a peace plan at the Munich Security Conference.
The global markets were shaken this week as President Trump signed executive orders imposing a significant new wave of tariffs, escalating tensions and introducing fresh concerns about…
The global equity markets have had an impressive run over the past two years, particularly in the United States. With solid economic growth and the prospect of falling interest rates…
The relationship between interest rates and the stock market is like a dance—sometimes in harmony, sometimes in conflict, but always interconnected.
The U.S. online sports betting (OSB) and iGaming markets are on fire—dynamic, fiercely competitive, and expanding at breakneck speed.
As we step into the new year, the markets are buzzing with anticipation for what 2025 will bring.
As 2025 unfolds, the Indian IT services sector stands at a crossroads, brimming with both opportunities and uncertainties.
The financial markets are abuzz with anticipation for 2025, fueled by a blend of optimism and cautious recalibration.
Across the United States, the rise of data centers has been dramatic. Yet, paradoxically, the national power demand figures tell a different story.
The U.S. debt has surged to unprecedented levels, now exceeding 120% of GDP and surpassing $35 trillion.
With market uncertainty rising and economic landscapes shifting, gold is once again stealing the spotlight as the ultimate safe-haven asset.
This November, the S&P 500 has skyrocketed to all-time highs, leaving investors wondering: What’s driving this explosive growth, and can it hold steady?
Professional sports have evolved far beyond the boundaries of the playing field, transforming into one of the most lucrative and dynamic sectors of the global economy.
Donald Trump is completing a historic comeback that gives him immense power at home and sends shockwaves globally. (Source: CNN)
Imagine a world where every swipe, click, and stream contributes to a rapidly growing energy demand, one that’s expected to soar by 165% for data centers alone by 2030.
This interactive map tracks the consensus forecast for the 2024 presidential election. (Source: 270towin )
As the world emerges from the turbulence of the Covid-19 pandemic, the aviation sector, once grounded by travel restrictions, is regaining altitude.
As we enter the final quarter of 2024, investors in China are closely watching the equity markets. The past few weeks have been a whirlwind for Chinese equities, with both soaring rallies and…
In a world where industries rise and fall with the changing tides of innovation, being able to identify the next big opportunity can set you apart as a savvy investor.
Australia is in the midst of what could be dubbed a "Millennial Recession”, with weak household consumption taking center stage in the country’s economic story.
Long-term performance of mid-caps, large-caps, and small-caps as of September 9, 2024.
As we move through 2024, the commodities landscape presents an intriguing mix of opportunities and challenges. While certain sectors of the market are facing downside risks due to weakening…
In recent months, much of the market buzz has centered around the potential for the U.S. economy to achieve a "soft landing." But what does that really mean?
Nvidia Corporation (NASDAQ:NVDA) has been a key player in the tech industry, especially with its significant impact on AI and data center markets. Following its latest earnings report…
The Federal Reserve's recent meeting in July marked a significant moment for US monetary policy.
The recent surge in the Yen , leading to heightened market volatility, has cast a spotlight on the Yen carry trade and its potential impact on central bank policies. This edition dives into…
A summer heat wave isn't the only reason for the expected rise in electricity demand. The growing influence of artificial intelligence and its substantial energy needs are increasing the…
Australian house prices rose again in July , yet the market has become increasingly divided, highlighting clear winners and losers among the country's capital cities. This growing disparity…
How do elections impact the stock market and portfolio returns? Should long-term investors even be concerned about elections? These are the questions investors and financial professionals are…
Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN) kicked off its Prime Day event with a bang, reporting a nearly 12% increase in sales during the first seven hours compared to the same period last year, according to…
Torrid Holdings Inc. is a leading player in the women’s plus-size apparel and intimates market in North America. Established in 2019 and headquartered in California, the company designs…
With Interest Rates among the highest in last few decades across the globe, many major economies have slowed down considerably. However, there remain three bright spots still driving the…
Meet Bright Green Corporation (NASDAQ: BGXX), a trailblazer in the world of plant-based drugs. This innovative company is at the forefront of research, production, distribution, and…
Goldman Sachs increased its year-end target for the S&P 500 to 5,600 , citing better-than-expected earnings from mega-cap tech stocks and a slightly higher fair value P/E (price-to-earning)…
May ended at all-time highs despite the fact that it tends to be among the weakest performing month of the year. Once more, the familiar saying “Sell in May and Go Away” proved unsuccessful…