methodicaltrades

Principles and methodologies

A principle decides what. A framework decides how.

Options

Four principles

Fixed

The same four for every options position, whichever structure is chosen. They decide what we are willing to trade at all.

One six-stage framework

Run every time

Market view through to exits. It decides how the principles become a specific options strategy.

Options principles

Four positions we do not argue about.

What we trade

01Buying and selling are both trades

Neither is superior, and selling is not the mirror image of buying.

Treating one trader’s loss as the other’s gain is where most options thinking goes wrong, and it leaves the trader permanently undecided about which camp to belong to. We use both. Which one appears in a recommendation is decided by the evidence, not by allegiance.

02Leverage is leverage

It is neither a virtue nor a vice.

Whether it helps or harms is settled entirely by how it is used — the size taken, and the loss accepted before the position is opened.

What it rests on

03The Greeks are not the market — price is

They describe how a position will behave; they do not say where the underlying is going.

The Greeks are derivatives of price. They inform a decision we have already framed on the chart. A position taken on the Greeks while the price action is ignored has the relationship backwards.

04Chart reading is under-rated

No position of ours is taken without the price action supporting it.

Options are the sharpest instrument available for tactical positioning, whether the purpose is speculation or a hedge, and what makes them precise is the chart.

Options methodology

Two kinds of Options recommendation.

One follows a view on the underlying, the other follows an event. Each is chosen a different way, and every recommendation says which it is.

View-driven

The matrix

Where the underlying is going, and what volatility is expected to do while it gets there.

View on the underlying

Bearish
Cautiously bearish
Neutral
Cautiously bullish
Bullish
Volatility
Rising
Steady
Falling
The families the matrix draws on: directional spreads, long options, volatility structures and income structures.

Event-driven

Defined events

The event, not the trend, is the reason for the position, and the date it resolves is known in advance.

  • Earnings
  • Macroeconomic announcements
  • Company-specific news
  • Special situations
  • Binary outcomes

The base both kinds rest on

One decision sequence, every time.

Each stage has to be answered before the next one is reached, and the recommendation is only published once the last one is. Whether the position came from the matrix or from a dated event, it has been through all six.

  1. 01

    Market view

    The thesis, and what would invalidate it.

  2. 02

    Time horizon

    Holding period, catalyst timing, expected path.

  3. 03

    Volatility and events

    The pricing environment and the calendar.

  4. 04

    Payoff structures

    Suitable families, trade-offs, maximum risk.

  5. 05

    Portfolio and execution

    Liquidity, capital use, diversification.

  6. 06

    Adjustments and exits

    Follow-up actions and exit conditions.

What it produces
A suitable strategy family, defined-risk and payoff context, expiry and execution considerations, and a follow-up plan before publication.

See what the Options plan includes.

The recommendations this framework produces, what each one contains and the follow-through after entry.

View options plan

Options involve risk and are not suitable for every investor. Read the risk disclosure before acting on market information.